POVPOV REALTYSINGAPORE INVESTMENT MAP
VALUE FINDS · ISSUE 002

Freehold below $1,400 psf. 22 projects left.

New freehold launches ask $2,000–$3,300 psf. But go by what buyers actually paid — not what showflats ask — and 22 projects with real transaction volume still trade under $1,400. Here is the entire list.

Editorial illustration: a shrinking shelf of freehold buildings
The 30-second version
  • Of 1,474 tracked resale projects, only 22 freehold projects with 10+ recent transactions still trade below $1,400 psf.
  • The cheapest — Wing Fong Mansions, $1,047 psf — sits in the city fringe, not the boondocks.
  • Ten of the 22 carry 95–100% profitable five-year exit records.
  • The list is one-directional: projects leave it (en bloc, re-rating) and nothing new ever joins.
The full 22, who they suit, and the three we'd view first — below ↓
1,474
Projects tracked
856
Freehold projects
$2,000+
Typical new FH launch PSF
22
FH projects still under $1,400

URA caveat data to 15 Jul 2026. Last-done PSF, minimum 10 transactions in 24 months. Exit records from POV's matched-pair five-year model.

01

The full list — every freehold project under $1,400 psf

Twenty-two left, from 856 freehold projects tracked.

EXHIBIT 1 · WHAT SURVIVES THE SCREEN
22Under $1,400 psffreehold, still856 freeholdFreehold projectsabove $1,4001,474 trackedEverything elseleasehold and 999-yr

Exhibit 1. Of 1,474 tracked projects, 856 are freehold and 22 still transact below $1,400 psf — against a typical new freehold launch above $2,000. The screen is narrowing every year, which is the reason the list is worth keeping. Source: URA private residential caveats to 23 Jun 2026 (REALIS); POV matched-pair exit model; live listing counts at time of writing. POV analysis.

ProjectLast-done PSF5y exits profitableYieldMedian price
Wing Fong Mansions D14 · Geylang$1,04779% / 194.4%$1.20M
Ballota Park D17 · Flora Dr$1,14497% / 383.1%$1.60M
Edelweiss Park D17 · Flora Dr$1,14496% / 543.5%$1.18M
Avila Gardens D17 · Flora Dr$1,18176% / 173.5%$1.50M
Estella Gardens D17 · Flora Dr$1,19192% / 263.4%$1.19M
Azalea Park D17 · Flora Dr$1,19466% / 293.3%$1.56M
Dahlia Park D17 · Flora Dr$1,211100% / 253.2%$1.45M
Northwood D27 · Sembawang$1,23884% / 192.7%$1.64M
Carissa Park D17 · Flora Dr$1,25498% / 533.0%$1.20M
Montrosa D23 · Hillview$1,263100% / 123.1%$1.49M
Ferraria Park D17 · Flora Dr$1,28995% / 593.2%$1.52M
# 1 Suites D14 · Geylang$1,29395% / 195.2%$0.73M
Seletaris D27 · Springleaf$1,314100% / 242.6%$2.13M
Changi Green D16 · Upper Changi$1,315100% / 213.0%$1.30M
Ris Grandeur D18 · Pasir Ris$1,317100% / 262.9%$1.74M
Mimosa Park D28 · Seletar Hills$1,32079% / 142.2%$2.50M
NEWest D05 · West Coast$1,336100% / 195.9%$2.65M
The Gale D17 · Flora Dr$1,352100% / 243.1%$1.41M
Windy Heights D14 · Kembangan$1,35347% / 172.2%$3.26M
Guillemard Suites D14 · Geylang$1,36696% / 234.9%$0.82M
Sunhaven D16 · Upper Changi$1,376100% / 183.1%$1.74M
Starville D14 · Geylang$1,39895% / 203.0%$1.70M

Highlighted rows = perfect five-year exit records outside the Flora Drive enclave (covered in our Kassia review). Median price = recent transacted, all unit sizes.

Read the geography first. Seven of the 22 sit in one place — the Flora Drive enclave in D17, which we dissected in the Kassia review. Strip those out and the cheap-freehold map is really four pockets: the Geylang–Kembangan belt in D14, the Upper Changi–Pasir Ris corridor in D16/D18, the Sembawang–Springleaf stretch in D27, and a lone Hillview boutique. That clustering is not an accident: these are the districts where freehold land was still cheap when the estates went up, and where no MRT-driven re-rating has yet repriced the old stock.

Old Roofs, New Towers — POV illustration
OLD ROOFS, NEW TOWERS · THE IDEA, DRAWN — POV ILLUSTRATION
02

What the exit records separate

Same street, same tenure, and a 34-point spread in exit odds.

EXHIBIT 2 · CHEAP IS NOT THE SAME AS SAFE
70%80%90%100%Dahlia Park · $1,211 · 25 exits100%Montrosa · $1,263 · 12 exits100%Carissa Park · $1,254 · 53 exits98%Ballota Park · $1,144 · 38 exits97%Edelweiss Park · $1,144 · 54 exits96%Estella Gardens · $1,191 · 2692%Northwood · $1,238 · 19 exits84%Wing Fong Mansions · $1,047 · 1979%Avila Gardens · $1,181 · 17 exits76%Azalea Park · $1,194 · 29 exits66%

Exhibit 2. Share of five-year matched-pair exits above purchase price, with entry psf. The cheapest project on the list has one of the weaker records, and the spread across ten projects at almost identical psf is 34 points. Price tells you what you pay; only the exit record tells you what happened to the people who did. Source: URA private residential caveats to 23 Jun 2026 (REALIS); POV matched-pair exit model; live listing counts at time of writing. POV analysis.

Ten of the 22 have never let a five-year seller down — 100% profitable exit records at Dahlia Park, Montrosa, Seletaris, Changi Green, Ris Grandeur, NEWest, The Gale, Sunhaven and near-perfect records at Carissa and Ferraria Park. These are the boring compounders: unglamorous addresses where everyone who held five years left with a gain.

Then read the two warnings in the same table. Windy Heights at $1,353 psf looks like the same deal — but only 47% of its 17 exits were profitable, the worst record on the list. Big old units in Kembangan bought dear in earlier cycles have taken a decade to work back. And Azalea Park (66%) shows the oldest Flora Drive phase carrying the enclave's early-buyer scars. Cheap PSF is not the same thing as a safe entry — the exit column is what separates a value find from a value trap.

The Geylang cluster needs its own honesty note. Wing Fong Mansions, # 1 Suites, Guillemard Suites and Starville deliver the best yields on the list (4.4–5.2%) precisely because the address discount never fully closes. Banks are selective by lorong, exit liquidity is thinner, and you should buy there for the rent, not the flip.

03

The three we'd view first

Cheap is the screen. The record is the filter.

Changi Green (D16, $1,315 psf, 21-for-21 exits). A quiet freehold condo near Upper Changi MRT with a perfect record and a $1.3M median quantum — the cheapest clean entry into freehold-plus-MRT on this list. The discount exists because Upper Changi reads as "far" to west-siders; the SUTD-and-Changi workforce renting there disagrees.

Ris Grandeur (D18, $1,317 psf, 26-for-26). Pasir Ris's only large freehold condo estate, one road from the Cross Island Line interchange works. When CRL opens around 2030, the "far east" discount this project trades on starts looking like the mispricing of the decade. Full-facility, family-sized stock.

Seletaris (D27, $1,314 psf, 24-for-24). Regular readers know this one from Issue 001 — freehold at the Springleaf end of Sembawang Road, in the district with Singapore's sharpest 12-month PSF move (+16.5%) and a brand-new 99-year launch up the road that printed $2,175 psf, 941 units, 98% sold. The re-rating benchmark is now sitting two bus stops away.

04

The en-bloc option you’re not paying for

Collective-sale optionality you are not being charged for.

Here’s the contrarian read on “old and ugly”: in 2022, developers paid $890 million for Chuan Park — a tired 1980s condo on a 99-year lease — because under the tired building sat land. Every project on our list is freehold land trading below $1,400 psf, in a market where developers routinely pay more than that for leasehold dirt at state tenders. You are being sold the building; you are actually buying the plot.

Don’t buy for the en bloc — collective sales are a lottery with a decade-long queue, and most of these estates will never go. Buy because the lottery ticket comes free: the land value under an old freehold estate is a floor that 99-year stock simply doesn’t have. When the building depreciates to zero, you still own the one thing in Singapore they aren’t making more of.

The fun part: the market pays a premium for lobbies and lap pools — things that depreciate — and discounts the land — the thing that doesn’t. This list is that mispricing, itemised.

05

Who this affects

Twenty-two doors, and they are not interchangeable.

A couple walking and talking through a modern residential estate

If you own

If you are buying to live in it, freehold at this level is a genuine floor

Below $1,400 psf on a freehold title, in a market where new freehold launches open above $2,000, the land component alone underwrites a lot of the price.

Choose on the exit record rather than the headline psf. A hundred dollars a foot more for a project running 97% against one running 66% is the cheapest insurance on this page.

An older couple reading together at a kitchen island

If you invest

If you are buying for the en-bloc option, price it at zero

Older freehold blocks on generous plots carry real collective-sale optionality, and at these psf levels you are not paying a premium for it. That asymmetry is the honest attraction.

But treat it as a free option, never as the thesis. Collective sales need 80% owner consent by share value and floor area for developments over ten years old, take years, and fail more often than they complete. If the deal only works when the en bloc lands, it is not a deal — it is a lottery ticket with maintenance fees.

The bottom line

This list only ever gets shorter.

  • No new supply, ever: state land is 99-year by definition, so no new freehold project will ever launch at these prices. Every en bloc and every re-rating removes a name and nothing replaces it.
  • Buy the record, not just the PSF: ten projects here have perfect five-year exit records. Two others (Windy Heights 47%, Azalea 66%) prove cheap can still hurt.
  • Our first viewings: Changi Green for quantum, Ris Grandeur for the CRL story, Seletaris for the district momentum.

Want the full workings on any of these 22?

Every project here has a deeper file — unit-level transactions, rental record, exit-window timing. Tell me your budget and I'll tell you which three fit it. No pressure, no spam.

More from POV Weekly
Sources & verification

How to check us: every number in this piece is computed from the primary record — URA caveats to 15 Jul 2026 — not from third-party estimates or hearsay. The links below are the official policy and news record behind the contextual claims.

Dataset — URA caveat data to 15 Jul 2026. Last-done PSF, minimum 10 transactions in 24 months. Exit records from POV's matched-pair five-year model.

Methodology & honesty notes. Last-done PSF, medians, yields and momentum computed from URA caveat data as at 15 Jul 2026; projects shown require at least 10 transactions in 24 months so thin, unrepresentative prints don't make the list. "Exits profitable" = POV's matched-pair model over a five-year window (same unit bought and later sold; profit before interest, taxes and fees). Freehold includes 999-year estates. Median price spans all unit sizes in a project — use PSF for like-for-like comparison. POV Realty and Farhan Adenan are not the marketing agents for any project or listing referenced, and nothing here is financial advice — it's a starting point for your own due diligence, which is exactly how we'd use it.

Farhan Adenan · CEA Registration R068636D · Senior Associate Division Director, Huttons Asia Pte Ltd (Estate Agent Licence L3008899K).

Which of the 22 fits me? →